Nascar Odds Richmond 2019
The Monster Energy Cup Series rolls into Richmond Raceway Saturday night for the Federated Auto Parts 400 at 7:30 p.m. ET.
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Which NASCAR drivers are best for fantasy lineup at Richmond? Apart from 5/1 odds to win this weekend, the numbers say don't bet on Martin Truex Jr. He has just one top 5 in his last four attempts. NASCAR Betting Guide for the Federated Auto Parts 400: Kevin Harvick is rolling, and he was superb at practice this week. Should you bet on him to win on Saturday night? Read it now on numberFire. NASCAR Odds, Auto Racing Lines. NASCAR Betting Experiences @ MyBookie. 4.7 out of 5 stars (based on 249 reviews) Latest NASCAR Reviews. Sunday, February 14, 2021 10:29, EST. MyBookie is a fantastic online shop. Propbuilder is excellent and fun. Live chat is always helpful.
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr. (+550), the winner last week in the South Point Hotel Casino 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, picked up the victory in the spring race at Richmond, too. In fact, four of his past seven starts at Richmond have resulted in a top-10 finish, so all eyes will be on MTJ.
Who is going to win Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway?
All odds from BetMGM. For a full-set of today’s sports betting odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports. Odds last updated Saturday at 11:00 a.m. ET.
While Truex leads all drivers with a 121.0 Driver Rating across the past five stops at the Virginia short track, Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick (+550) is next with a 112.4 Driver Rating while running 92.0 percent of his laps inside the Top 15. Happy also has a 6.2 Average-Finish Position (AFP) across his past five Richmond outings.
Harvick has three checkered flags in his career in 37 Cup starts in Richmond while leading 1,139 laps with 15 top-5 finishes, 24 top-10 results and no DNFs with a 9.89 AFP.
JGR’s Denny Hamlin (+550) is also a three-time winner at this track, and the Chesterfield, Va. native gets hyped to drive in his backyard. In 26 Cup starts, he is second among all drivers with a 9.38 AFP, leading a circuit-best 1,659 laps. He is as good of a bet as any. Are you new to sports betting? A $10 wager on Hamlin at +550 would return a profit of $55.00 if he wins the race.
His teammate Kyle Busch (+300) is also a good bet, winning six times in 28 Cup starts while leading everyone with a 6.96 AFP. He was eighth in this event in the spring, but he swept both Richmond races in 2018. A $10 wager on Busch would return a $30 profit if he wins.
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Ganassi Racing driver Kyle Larson (+2500) has managed a win, two top-5 runs, four top-10 showings and 73 laps led with a solid 12.2 AFP. If you’re thinking a little bit outside of the box, and away from the heavy favorites (Busch, Hamlin, Harvick and Truex), Larson could sneak up and cash tickets. If he pulls out the victory, a $10 wager on Larson would return a $250 profit.
Richmond Raceway long-shot bets
Roush Fenway Racing driver Ryan Newman (+10000) is in the playoffs (currently 13th in the standings), yet no one is talking about ‘The Rocket Man’. That could change if he simply lives up to his career averages at Richmond. In 35 Cup starts he has a win, seven top-5 finishes and 19 top-10 runs with a strong 12.54 AFP and just one DNF.
Keep an eye on SHR’s Daniel Suarez (+9000), too. He has been a quick study at Richmond, finishing 18th or better in each of his five Cup starts at the short track, including a seventh-place run in Fall ’17. His 12.8 AFP is ninth among all active participants.
Now that you know which drivers you should consider to bet in the Federated Auto Parts 400, head to BetMGM and place your wagers today.
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Kyle Busch won the NASCAR Cup Championship last season to win his second Cup title, but after 27 races during 2020, Busch has no wins.
Nascar Odds Richmond 2019 Results
He’s never gone an entire season without a win and has nine more cracks at a win beginning with Saturday night’s Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway’s flat 0.75-mile layout, a track he’s won at six times, the last coming to complete a 2018 sweep.
But the past is the past and has done nothing to assist a win this season and it’s killing him. I think he’s embarrassed by it as well since he’s raised the bar so high for himself.
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Federated Auto Parts 400 Picks
Date: Saturday, Sept. 12, 2020
Venue: Richmond Raceway
Location: Richmond, Virginia
Television-Time: NBCSN, 7:30 p.m. ET
“This year has definitely been one of the biggest tests I feel like I’ve been through,” Busch said. “In 2015, I was injured and I was on the sideline and I wasn’t sure if I was ever going to come back, and I was able to come back and then struggled for five weeks just getting a footing, and then finally being able to win again at Sonoma.
Right there, that just lit a fire under us and that was all it took for the rest of the year to be a championship contender and a guy to go out there to compete with his team and be the best of all of them.
Martin Truex Jr. and the No. 19 team swept both of the NASCAR Cup Series races at Richmond Raceway in 2019. (AP)
“This year, it’s been nothing but something else that’s in the back of your mind, and what’s the next thing that’s going to test your patience. Just seems like we can’t shake this monkey off our back. Wherever he is, whatever he looks like, somebody tell me and we’re going to go for a few roll-arounds here and get him off my back in order go out there and have a solid, successful, productive final 10 weeks.”
NASCAR Cup Odds - Richmond
- Denny Hamlin +450
- Kevin Harvick +450
- Martin Truex Jr. +450
- Joey Logano +700
- Brad Keselowski +800
- Kyle Busch +800
- Chase Elliott +900
- Kurt Busch +2200
- Ryan Blaney +2500
- Jimmie Johnson +2500
- (Odds Subject to Change)
Handicapping NASCAR at Richmond
Favorite Foursome
For the first time in nearly a decade, Busch isn’t the favorite to win at Richmond. William Hill books have been having Busch around 12/1 or 14/1 the last few races as he continues not to win, but for Richmond and his stellar record they dropped him down to 5/1 out of respect.
In addition to his six wins, he’s also the active track leader with a 6.7 average finish and 18 top-fives in 29 starts. He also four finishes of fourth or better in the eight races using this week’s race package (750 hp) which should help his team’s confidence to go along with all his other Richmond trophies which includes seven Xfinity Series wins.
William Hill posted Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr. as the 7/2 co-favorites to win for different reasons. For Harvick, it’s because he’s won eight races this season and not his three Richmond wins, the last of which came in 2013 when he was still driving a Richard Childress Chevrolet.
For Truex, it’s because he swept the Richmond 2020 season and also the fact that he had eight straight finishes of fourth or better until finding some late trouble at Darlington last week in what looked to be the best car of the track.
Harvick’s Dover win two weeks ago was his only win using the 750 hp race package this season. Truex’s only win thus far has come with this same package at Martinsville. He’s been third or better in his last four races using it.
Denny Hamlin’s sixth win of the season two weeks ago at the Saturday Dover race was his first win using the 750 hp package, but this is his home track. He grew up 30-minutes away from Richmond Raceway and his been outstanding on it in his 27 Cup starts and his 1,659 laps led are the most among active drivers. He has three wins and 13 top-fives. William hill books set him at 4/1 odds to win.
Three of the top-four favorites drive a Joe Gibbs Toyota which has shown to have an edge. They’ve won the four races and seven of the last nine. JGR at Richmond isn’t just some kind of random trend, they don’t mess around there. But then there is Erik Jones who hasn’t had much success there in four races driving for JGR. Jones is 40/1 to win this week as he’s trying to impress another team for a 2021 job.
Worth a Look?
Outside of those four, there’s a next level of drivers that should be seriously considered for a wager starting with the Team Penske drivers and also Chase Elliott. It all has to do with this week’s race package that has been used in eight races which includes the non-points All-Star Race at Bristol. Brad Keselowski (10/1) and Elliott (15/1) each have two wins with it and Joey Logano (14/1) has a win at Phoenix just before the shutdown.
Logano also fits my criteria of being a must bet because he did well on the flat tracks of Phoenix and New Hampshire (fourth-place) with top-fives in each. The correlation between those two tracks and Richmond has been strong even though the configurations are completely different but the balance set-up has been money for all three. If a driver has done well at one, he’ll do well on the other. Harvick is the only other driver with top-fives on both tracks.
The New Hampshire results from Aug. 2 look similar to my top-five prediction this week. Keselowski won that race after leading a race-high 182 laps, Hamlin was second after leading 92 laps, Truex was third, Logano fourth, and Harvick was fifth.
In my betting equation this week I had to throw Harvick out and also minimize my returns with the other three favorites to serve as an insurance policy of sorts while hoping drivers like Logano, Keselowski, and Elliott come through. Yes, I’ve thrown out Harvick who has eight wins this season. Probably not very smart, but I have to take a stand somewhere.
Longshots don’t cash often at Richmond, but I had to throw a few small wagers on a couple this week beginning with two-time Richmond winner Clint Bowyer who is being offered at 50/1 odds to win. Christopher Bell has JGR equipment in his No. 95 and won three of the past four Xfinity Series races showing he can wheel his way around the track well.
Federated Auto Parts 400
Top-5 Finish Prediction
- 1) #18 Kyle Busch (5/1) Bet Now at DraftKings
- 2) #11 Denny Hamlin (4/1) Bet Now at DraftKings
- 3) #19 Martin Truex Jr. (7/2)
- 4) #22 Joey Logano (14/1)
- 5) #2 Brad Keselowski (10/1)
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